Week 3
Elliott T. Bowers Stadium

Nicholls @ Sam Houston , Week 3, Sep 19, 2026

0-0 Southland Power rating: -28.4
0-0 CUSA Power rating: -24.1

Is there value in the Nicholls vs Sam Houston line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SHSU -7.3
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors NICHfavors SHSU ▸
4.3 › SHSU
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1 NICH1 SHSU2 NICH2 SHSUModel: SHSU -7.3

Sam Houston (power rating: -24.1) holds a 4.3-point advantage over Nicholls (-28.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Sam Houston's home field adds 2.5 points to that advantage at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges the heat. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Nicholls vs Sam Houston at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium?

The latest reading for Elliott T. Bowers Stadium shows Clear, 87°F, heat index 92°F with winds of 10 mph. Gusts reaching 20 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Nicholls and Sam Houston compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Sam Houston (-24.1) over Nicholls (-28.4) by 4.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Sam Houston brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Sam Houston -7.3. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

87°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity57%
Wind10 mph SE
Gusts20 mph
Heat index92°F
Wind map for Nicholls at Sam Houston: aerial view of Elliott T. Bowers Stadium, wind from the SE at 9.6 mph, gusting to 20.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CDT
Venue
Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Capacity
14,000
Elevation
446 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure NichollsAway Sam HoustonHome
This week290 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekHome game
Season total1,746 miles1,145 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
Rest7 days7 days

Nicholls travels 290 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.