Week 3
Plaster Sports Complex

Marshall @ Missouri State , Week 3, Sep 19, 2026

0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -6.0
0-0 CUSA Power rating: -15.7

Is there value in the Marshall vs Missouri State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
MRSH -6.7
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors MRSHfavors MOST ▸
‹ 9.7 MRSH
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1 MRSH1 MOST2 MRSH2 MOSTModel: MRSH -6.7

Marshall (power rating: -6.0) carries a 9.7-point advantage over Missouri State (-15.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Missouri State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5) narrows that gap at Plaster Sports Complex. Beyond home field, the model also charges the heat. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Marshall vs Missouri State at Plaster Sports Complex?

The latest reading for Plaster Sports Complex shows Clear, 91°F, heat index 92°F with winds of 12 mph. Gusts reaching 28 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Marshall and Missouri State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Marshall (-6.0) over Missouri State (-15.7) by 9.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Missouri State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Missouri State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Marshall -6.7. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

91°F

Rain2%
Precip0.00"
Humidity38%
Wind12 mph S
Gusts28 mph
Heat index92°F
Wind map for Marshall at Missouri State: aerial view of Plaster Sports Complex, wind from the S at 11.6 mph, gusting to 28 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
05:30 PM CDT
Venue
Plaster Sports Complex
Capacity
17,500
Elevation
1,339 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure MarshallAway Missouri StateHome
This week600 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total1,188 miles974 miles
Body clock18:3017:30
Rest7 days7 days

Marshall travels 600 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. Marshall arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.