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Week 14 •
Scott Stadium

Virginia Tech7 @FINAL 27Virginia

3-8 ACC Power rating: 1.7
9-2 ACC Power rating: 12.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UVA -8.5
PM Implied
UVA -6.9
Blue Chip model
UVA -12.5
Edge
+4.0UVA
See details
◂ favors VTfavors UVA ▸Market: UVA -8.5
10.3 › UVA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UVA
UVA
no impact
no impact
VT
2 VT2 UVA4 VT4 UVAModel: UVA -12.5

Betting information

Spread
UVA -8.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
VT 22.0 – 30.5 UVA
Prediction markets
UVA 75% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Virginia defeated Virginia Tech 27–7 to secure a comfortable win. Virginia covered by 11.5; Game went Under by 18.5. The market closed at Virginia -8.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Virginia -12.5 - a gap of 4.0 points toward Virginia, of which 2.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Virginia Tech vs Virginia?

At kickoff, conditions at Scott Stadium were Overcast, 32°F, wind chill 27°F with winds of 4 mph. At 32°F, cold is worth noting but is unlikely to be decisive. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Virginia Tech travels 118 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Virginia won by 20 to secure a comfortable win.

Virginia covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 18.5 points.

How do Virginia Tech and Virginia compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Virginia (12.0) over Virginia Tech (1.7) by 10.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Virginia brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Virginia Tech and Virginia?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Virginia won and Virginia covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 30, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

32°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity46%
Wind4 mph S
Gusts7 mph
Wind chill27°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Virginia Tech at Virginia: aerial view of Scott Stadium, wind from the S at 3.6 mph, gusting to 6.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EST
Venue
Scott Stadium
Capacity
61,500
Elevation
545 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Virginia TechAway VirginiaHome
This week118 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total2,735 miles6,414 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
Rest8 days15 days

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