35 Final 21 3 Final 24 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
Sheraton Hawaiʻi Bowl •
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics ComplexNeutral site

California31 @FINAL 35Hawai'i

7-5 ACC Power rating: -0.6
8-4 MW Power rating: -4.4

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
HAW -1.5
PM Implied
HAW -0.4
Blue Chip model
CAL -2.6
Edge
-4.2CAL
See details
◂ favors CALfavors HAW ▸Market: HAW -1.5
CAL
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
neutral
no impact
HAW
no impact
HAW
2 CAL2 HAW4 CAL4 HAWModel: CAL -2.6

Betting information

Spread
HAW -1.5
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
CAL 24.5 – 26.0 HAW
Prediction markets
HAW 52% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Hawai'i defeated California 35–31 in a closely contested finish. Hawai'i covered by 2.5; Game went Over by 15.5. The market closed at Hawai'i -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it California -2.6 - a gap of 4.2 points toward California, of which 3.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated California 3.8 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for California vs Hawai'i?

At kickoff, conditions at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex were Clear, 71°F with winds of 12 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

California travels 2,406 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Hawai'i won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

Hawai'i covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 15.5 points.

How do California and Hawai'i compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor California (-0.6) over Hawai'i (-4.4) by 3.8 points on a neutral field. Hawai'i faces a power rating deficit at a neutral venue. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on California and Hawai'i?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Hawai'i won and Hawai'i covered the spread.

Conditions

as of December 25, 2025 Game-time

Clear

71°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity69%
Wind12 mph E
Gusts20 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for California at Hawai'i: aerial view of Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, wind from the E at 11.9 mph, gusting to 19.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Postseason
Kickoff (local)
03:00 PM HST
Venue
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Capacity
16,909
Elevation
75 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

CaliforniaAway Hawai'iHome
This week2,406 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total18,183 miles29,654 miles
Body clock17:0015:00
Rest25 days25 days

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