Week 9 • October 31, 2026, 04:00 AM UTC
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American
Power Rank: 1.6
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Independent
Power Rank: 28.2

By · Last updated

Notre Dame (power rating: 28.2) holds a 26.6-point edge over Navy (1.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. See Line Value below.

General Information

Week: Week 9
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 AM EDT
Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Capacity: 64,628
Elevation: 0 ft
HFA Rating: N/A
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Notre Dame -26.6

Line Value Calculator

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Navy
Notre Dame
Home field — Gillette Stadium
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Does weather affect Navy vs Notre Dame at Gillette Stadium?

Game-time forecast at Gillette Stadium shows Clear — 66.2°F, Feels Like 55.8°F with winds of 5.8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment has been pre-filled in the Line Value Calculator above — adjust manually if conditions change before kick-off.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: July 05, 2026
Clear

Clear

66.2°F

Feels Like: 55.8°F
Wind: 5.8 mph ESE
Gusts: 11.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 92%
Rain Chance: 15%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Navy (Away)

This Week: 349.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 9379.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 00:00
Rest Days: 7

Notre Dame (Home)

This Week: 771.4 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5158.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 00:00
Rest Days: 14

What are the key factors for Navy vs Notre Dame?

Navy: Key Factors

New quarterback and offensive transition

Braxton Woodson takes over at quarterback after the departure of Blake Horvath, who accounted for a large share of last year's offense. Woodson has sprinter's speed and experience at multiple positions, but his passing consistency is unproven. The offense is in its third year under coordinator Drew Cronic, who expects more from the passing game, but the unit is relying on several unproven players, including running back Vic Listorti (hamstring history) and slotback Charles Robinson (emerged in spring).

Defensive strengths at linebacker and safety

Navy returns two highly productive inside linebackers, MarcAnthony Parker and Coleman Cauley, who combined for 176 tackles last season. Safety Giuseppe Sessi, the defensive signal-caller, was second on the team with 81 tackles. The secondary improved late last season after Phillip Hamilton moved to safety, and the corners (Nick Bell, Irabonoise Oniha) bring experience. However, the pass rush is a concern after losing first-team All-America nose guard Landon Robinson.

Home-field advantage and favorable weather

Navy plays at home with a venue home-field advantage of 2.4 points. The forecast is clear with 57°F and 11 mph wind, which should not significantly impact the game. The Midshipmen have no travel and are well-rested for the season opener.

Uncertainty at placekicker

Justin Welch enters as the top placekicker, but the position battle continued through training camp. Special teams could be a factor in a close game, and any missed opportunities could be costly.

Opponent scouting and preparation challenges

Towson is an FCS opponent with no prior season data available. Navy's unique option-style offense is difficult to prepare for, especially for a team that may not see it regularly. The Midshipmen's defensive multiplicity and retention of players due to the academy's structure give them an edge in scheme familiarity.

Notre Dame: Key Factors

Offensive line dominance vs. Wisconsin front

Notre Dame's offensive line, featuring rising stars Guerby Lambert and Will Black at tackle and a healthy Ashton Craig at center, is expected to control the line of scrimmage. The Irish's ability to run the ball with Aneyas Williams and Nolan James Jr. will be critical, as Wisconsin's defense is traditionally strong up front. If Notre Dame can establish the run, it will open up play-action for CJ Carr and create one-on-one opportunities for the deep receiving corps.

CJ Carr's deep passing vs. Wisconsin secondary

With a deep and talented receiver group including Jordan Faison, Jaden Greathouse, and Ohio State transfers Mylan Graham and Quincy Porter, Carr has the weapons to test Wisconsin's secondary. The Irish are expected to take more shots downfield this season, and Carr's accuracy (24:6 TD:INT ratio in 2025) will be key. If the offensive line provides time, Carr can exploit mismatches and stretch the field.

Notre Dame's experienced secondary vs. Wisconsin's passing attack

The Irish return a veteran secondary led by cornerback Leonard Moore and safeties Adon Shuler and Brauntae Johnson, who helped Notre Dame rank fourth nationally in interceptions (21 in 12 games). This group will be crucial in limiting Wisconsin's passing game, especially if the Badgers try to test the Irish deep. The secondary's ball-hawking ability could force turnovers and swing momentum.

Neutral-site weather impact on game plan

The forecast calls for light rain, 56°F, and 13 mph wind, which could affect passing accuracy and kicking. Notre Dame's run game and offensive line strength become even more important in these conditions. The Irish may lean on a conservative, run-heavy approach to control the clock and avoid risky throws, while the defense will look to pressure the quarterback and force short, manageable situations.

Marcus Freeman's motivational edge and team focus

After last season's College Football Playoff snub, Freeman has emphasized maintaining a 'Leave No Doubt' mentality and keeping the pain of that disappointment as motivation. This mindset could give Notre Dame an extra competitive edge in a season-opening neutral-site game against a quality opponent like Wisconsin, especially in potentially adverse weather conditions.

What do the matchup numbers say?

Navy travels 349 miles to this game, a short road trip.

How do Navy and Notre Dame compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Notre Dame (28.2) over Navy (1.6) by 26.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip Analytics rates Notre Dame as the stronger team by 26.6 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.