DraftKings · as of October 8, 2026
Ohio State (power rating: 27.8) carries a 3.5-point advantage over Indiana (24.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Indiana's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6) narrows that gap at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN). The market line is Ohio State -2.5 and our model shows Ohio State -0.7; Modest edge toward Indiana. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) shows Mist, 69°F with winds of 7 mph. Gusts reaching 23 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Ohio State as 56% favorites to beat Indiana (44%). That implies a market-derived spread of Ohio State -1.6, in line with the bookmaker line of Ohio State -2.5. The Blue Chip model makes it Ohio State -0.7, in line with the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Mist
69°F
| Measure | Ohio StateAway | IndianaHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 195 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,103 miles |
| Season total | 3,251 miles | 2,398 miles |
| Body clock | 12:00 | 12:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Ohio State travels 195 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
.png)
