Cincinnati (power rating: 4.1) carries a 2.8-point advantage over West Virginia (1.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. West Virginia's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5) narrows that gap at Milan Puskar Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Cincinnati's bye week. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Milan Puskar Stadium shows Overcast, 57°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Cincinnati as 50% favorites to beat West Virginia (48%). That implies a market-derived spread of Cincinnati -0.1. The Blue Chip model makes it Cincinnati -1.0, in line with the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Overcast
57°F
| Measure | CincinnatiAway | West VirginiaHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 247 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Home game |
| Season total | 3,356 miles | 2,087 miles |
| Body clock | 12:00 | 12:00 |
| Rest | 13 days | 7 days |
Cincinnati travels 247 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
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