Bowling Green (power rating: -19.1) holds a 2.6-point advantage over Ball State (-21.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Bowling Green's home field adds 0.8 points to that advantage at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Doyt L. Perry Stadium shows Overcast, 57°F with winds of 10 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Ball State as 57% favorites to beat Bowling Green (44%). That implies a market-derived spread of Ball State -1.8. The Blue Chip model makes it Bowling Green -3.5, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Overcast
57°F
| Measure | Ball StateAway | Bowling GreenHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 124 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | 348 miles | Home game |
| Season total | 1,958 miles | 2,688 miles |
| Body clock | 12:00 | 12:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Ball State travels 124 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
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