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Week 7 •
Protective Stadium

East Carolina @ UAB

2-2 American Power rating: -4.3
3-2 American Power rating: -11.1

By · Last updated

Is there value in the East Carolina vs UAB line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
ECU -6.1
Blue Chip model
ECU -3.7
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors ECUfavors UAB ▸
‹ 6.8 ECU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UAB
no impact
no impact
no impact
UAB
1 ECU1 UAB2 ECU2 UAB3 ECU3 UABModel: ECU -3.7

Betting information

Prediction markets
ECU 72% win chance (Kalshi)

East Carolina (power rating: -4.3) carries a 6.8-point advantage over UAB (-11.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. UAB's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8) narrows that gap at Protective Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect East Carolina vs UAB at Protective Stadium?

The forecast for Protective Stadium shows Sunny, 82°F, heat index 84°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment is pre-filled in the line value calculator above; adjust it manually if conditions change before kickoff. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What do prediction markets say about East Carolina vs UAB?

Prediction markets on Kalshi price East Carolina as 72% favorites to beat UAB (28%). That implies a market-derived spread of East Carolina -6.1. The Blue Chip model makes it East Carolina -3.7, a modest gap from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.

How do East Carolina and UAB compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor East Carolina (-4.3) over UAB (-11.1) by 6.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UAB faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UAB brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on East Carolina and UAB?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this East Carolina -3.7. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 15, 2026 Firming up

Sunny

82°F

Rain2%
Precip0.00"
Humidity53%
Wind5 mph S
Gusts10 mph
Heat index84°F
Wind map for East Carolina at UAB: aerial view of Protective Stadium, wind from the S at 4.9 mph, gusting to 10.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM CDT
Venue
Protective Stadium
Capacity
47,100
Elevation
623 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

East CarolinaAway UABHome
This week557 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game424 miles
Season total1,980 miles2,110 miles
Body clock19:3018:30
Rest5 days5 days

East Carolina travels 557 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. East Carolina arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

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