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Week 6 •
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)

Southern Miss34 @FINAL 55Troy

1-3 Sun Belt Power rating: -16.2
2-2 Sun Belt Power rating: -9.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TROY -10.0
PM Implied
TROY -7.8
Blue Chip model
TROY -8.1
Edge
-1.9USM
See details
◂ favors USMfavors TROY ▸Market: TROY -10.0
6.3 › TROY
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
TROY
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 USM1 TROY2 USM2 TROYModel: TROY -8.1

Betting information

Spread
TROY -10.0
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
USM 21.3 – 31.3 TROY
Prediction markets
TROY 78% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of October 6, 2026

Troy defeated Southern Miss 55–34 to secure a comfortable win. Troy covered by 11.0; Game went Over by 36.5. The market closed at Troy -10.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Troy -8.1, an edge of 1.9 points toward Southern Miss.

What were the weather conditions for Southern Miss vs Troy?

At kickoff, conditions at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) were Overcast, 74°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Southern Miss travels 202 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Troy won by 21 to secure a comfortable win.

Troy covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 36.5 points.

How do Southern Miss and Troy compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Troy (-9.9) over Southern Miss (-16.2) by 6.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Troy brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Southern Miss and Troy?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Troy won and Troy covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 6, 2026 Game-time

Overcast

74°F

Rain19%
Precip0.00"
Humidity73%
Wind5 mph ENE
Gusts15 mph
Wind map for Southern Miss at Troy: aerial view of Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL), wind from the ENE at 4.7 mph, gusting to 14.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 6
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM CDT
Venue
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
Capacity
61,831
Elevation
548 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Southern MissAway TroyHome
This week202 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total899 miles4,383 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
Rest11 days11 days

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