Week 4
Hornet Stadium

Massachusetts @ Sacramento State , Week 4, Sep 26, 2026

0-0 MAC Power rating: -32.4
0-0 MAC Power rating: -24.5

Is there value in the Massachusetts vs Sacramento State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SAC -11.3
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors MASSfavors SAC ▸
7.9 › SAC
Adjust the power ratings by team
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
SAC
no impact
SAC
no impact
no impact
1 MASS1 SAC2 MASS2 SACModel: SAC -11.3

Sacramento State (power rating: -24.5) holds a 7.9-point advantage over Massachusetts (-32.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Sacramento State's home field adds 2.5 points to that advantage at Hornet Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Massachusetts's westward trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Massachusetts vs Sacramento State at Hornet Stadium?

The latest reading for Hornet Stadium shows Clear, 74°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Massachusetts and Sacramento State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Sacramento State (-24.5) over Massachusetts (-32.4) by 7.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Sacramento State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Sacramento State -11.3. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

74°F

Rain1%
Precip0.00"
Humidity37%
Wind7 mph SSW
Gusts14 mph
Wind map for Massachusetts at Sacramento State: aerial view of Hornet Stadium, wind from the SSW at 6.7 mph, gusting to 14.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
09:00 PM PDT
Venue
Hornet Stadium
Capacity
21,195
Elevation
49 ft
Surface
Unknown

Travel and rest

Measure MassachusettsAway Sacramento StateHome
This week2,554 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total2,880 miles4,286 miles
Body clock00:0021:00
Rest7 days6 days

Massachusetts travels 2,554 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. That is a westward shift of 3 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.