Week 11
Jack Trice Stadium

Cincinnati @ Iowa State , Week 11, Nov 14, 2026

0-0 Big 12 Power rating: 5.0
0-0 Big 12 Power rating: 5.2

Is there value in the Cincinnati vs Iowa State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ISU -2.6
Edge
No line posted
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ISU
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1 CIN1 ISU2 CIN2 ISU3 CIN3 ISUModel: ISU -2.6

Iowa State (power rating: 5.2) and Cincinnati (5.0) are rated essentially even on a neutral field by Blue Chip Analytics. Iowa State's home field advantage (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9) is the primary differentiator at Jack Trice Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Cincinnati vs Iowa State at Jack Trice Stadium?

The latest reading for Jack Trice Stadium shows Light rain shower, 72°F with winds of 14 mph. Gusts reaching 32 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Cincinnati and Iowa State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate Cincinnati (5.0) and Iowa State (5.2) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, home field, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. Iowa State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Iowa State -2.6. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Light rain shower

72°F

Rain24%
Precip0.00"
Humidity66%
Wind14 mph SE
Gusts32 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Cincinnati at Iowa State: aerial view of Jack Trice Stadium, wind from the SE at 13.9 mph, gusting to 32.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CST
Venue
Jack Trice Stadium
Capacity
61,500
Elevation
915 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure CincinnatiAway Iowa StateHome
This week519 miles0 miles
Last week1,790 miles1,492 miles
Season total5,912 miles5,938 miles
Body clock00:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Cincinnati travels 519 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. Cincinnati arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.