Iowa State (power rating: 5.2) and Cincinnati (5.0) are rated essentially even on a neutral field by Blue Chip Analytics. Iowa State's home field advantage (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9) is the primary differentiator at Jack Trice Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Jack Trice Stadium shows Light rain shower, 72°F with winds of 14 mph. Gusts reaching 32 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Light rain shower
72°F

| Measure | CincinnatiAway | Iowa StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 519 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | 1,790 miles | 1,492 miles |
| Season total | 5,912 miles | 5,938 miles |
| Body clock | 00:00 | 23:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Cincinnati travels 519 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. Cincinnati arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.