Week 11 •
Glass Bowl

Massachusetts @ Toledo , Week 11, Nov 11, 2026

4-1 MAC Power rating: -16.4
4-1 MAC Power rating: 0.4

Is there value in the Massachusetts vs Toledo line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TOL -19.4
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors MASSfavors TOL ▸
16.8 › TOL
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TOL
no impact
no impact
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MASS
1 MASS1 TOL2 MASS2 TOL3 MASS3 TOLModel: TOL -19.4

Toledo (power rating: 0.4) holds a 16.8-point advantage over Massachusetts (-16.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Toledo's home field adds 2.9 points to that advantage at Glass Bowl. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Massachusetts vs Toledo at Glass Bowl?

The latest reading for Glass Bowl shows Clear, 50°F with winds of 10 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Massachusetts and Toledo compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Toledo (0.4) over Massachusetts (-16.4) by 16.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Toledo brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Toledo -19.4. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

50°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity64%
Wind10 mph NNE
Gusts16 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Massachusetts at Toledo: aerial view of Glass Bowl, wind from the NNE at 10.3 mph, gusting to 15.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
Glass Bowl
Capacity
26,038
Elevation
610 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure MassachusettsAway ToledoHome
This week572 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game3,997 miles
Season total6,733 miles4,526 miles
Body clock00:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

Massachusetts travels 572 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.