Week 11 •
Scheumann Stadium

Buffalo @ Ball State , Week 11, Nov 11, 2026

2-3 MAC Power rating: -17.3
1-4 MAC Power rating: -21.7

Is there value in the Buffalo vs Ball State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
BUF -1.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors BUFfavors BALL ▸
‹ 4.4 BUF
Adjust the power ratings by team
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
BALL
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 BUF1 BALL2 BUF2 BALL3 BUF3 BALLModel: BUF -1.2

Buffalo (power rating: -17.3) carries a 4.4-point advantage over Ball State (-21.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Ball State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2) narrows that gap at Scheumann Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Buffalo vs Ball State at Scheumann Stadium?

The latest reading for Scheumann Stadium shows Clear, 49°F, wind chill 45°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Buffalo and Ball State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Buffalo (-17.3) over Ball State (-21.7) by 4.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Ball State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Ball State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Buffalo -1.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

49°F

Rain9%
Precip0.00"
Humidity80%
Wind8 mph N
Gusts19 mph
Wind chill45°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Buffalo at Ball State: aerial view of Scheumann Stadium, wind from the N at 7.6 mph, gusting to 18.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
Scheumann Stadium
Capacity
16,319
Elevation
951 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure BuffaloAway Ball StateHome
This week394 miles0 miles
Last week784 miles1,372 miles
Season total4,408 miles3,454 miles
Body clock00:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

Buffalo travels 394 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.