Week 10 •
Sun Bowl

Hawai'i @ UTEP , Week 10, Nov 7, 2026

1-4 MW Power rating: -16.1
1-4 MW Power rating: -23.3

Is there value in the Hawai'i vs UTEP line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
HAW -4.5
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors HAWfavors UTEP ▸
‹ 7.2 HAW
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1 HAW1 UTEP2 HAW2 UTEPModel: HAW -4.5

Hawai'i (power rating: -16.1) carries a 7.2-point advantage over UTEP (-23.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. UTEP's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5) narrows that gap at Sun Bowl. Beyond home field, the model charges Hawai'i's bye week and Hawai'i's long trip, with a slighter reading for the altitude. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Hawai'i vs UTEP at Sun Bowl?

The latest reading for Sun Bowl shows Light rain shower, 74°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Hawai'i and UTEP compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Hawai'i (-16.1) over UTEP (-23.3) by 7.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UTEP faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UTEP brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Hawai'i -4.5. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Light rain shower

74°F

Rain46%
Precip0.02"
Humidity68%
Wind6 mph E
Gusts13 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Hawai'i at UTEP: aerial view of Sun Bowl, wind from the E at 6.3 mph, gusting to 13.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
10:00 PM MST
Venue
Sun Bowl
Capacity
51,500
Elevation
3,904 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Hawai'iAway UTEPHome
This week3,228 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week2,328 miles
Season total28,903 miles6,820 miles
Body clock19:0022:00
Rest14 days7 days

Hawai'i travels 3,228 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.