Week 10
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Ball State @ Massachusetts , Week 10, Nov 4, 2026

0-0 MAC Power rating: -22.1
0-0 MAC Power rating: -32.4

Is there value in the Ball State vs Massachusetts line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
BALL -8.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors BALLfavors MASS ▸
‹ 10.3 BALL
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1 BALL1 MASS2 BALL2 MASSModel: BALL -8.2

Ball State (power rating: -22.1) carries a 10.3-point advantage over Massachusetts (-32.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Massachusetts's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1) narrows that gap at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Ball State vs Massachusetts at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium?

The latest reading for Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium shows Clear, 57°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Ball State and Massachusetts compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Ball State (-22.1) over Massachusetts (-32.4) by 10.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Massachusetts faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Massachusetts brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Ball State -8.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

57°F

Rain5%
Precip0.00"
Humidity68%
Wind4 mph NNW
Gusts15 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Ball State at Massachusetts: aerial view of Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, wind from the NNW at 4 mph, gusting to 15.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Capacity
17,000
Elevation
157 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Ball StateAway MassachusettsHome
This week686 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total2,768 miles6,161 miles
Body clock00:0000:00
Rest11 days12 days

Ball State travels 686 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.