SMU (power rating: 12.8) holds a 6.1-point advantage over Virginia (6.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. SMU's home field adds 3.8 points to that advantage at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges SMU's bye week and the heat, with a slighter reading for Virginia's trip. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Gerald J. Ford Stadium shows Overcast, 89°F, heat index 91°F with winds of 12 mph. Gusts reaching 24 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Overcast
89°F
| Measure | VirginiaAway | SMUHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,089 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Bye week |
| Season total | 2,793 miles | 2,952 miles |
| Body clock | 00:00 | 23:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 14 days |
Virginia travels 1,089 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Virginia arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
