Week 7 •
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

New Mexico @ Hawai'i , Week 7, Oct 18, 2026

4-1 MW Power rating: 6.3
1-4 MW Power rating: -16.1

Is there value in the New Mexico vs Hawai'i line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UNM -18.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors UNMfavors HAW ▸
‹ 22.4 UNM
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2 UNM2 HAW4 UNM4 HAWModel: UNM -18.2

New Mexico (power rating: 6.3) carries a 22.4-point advantage over Hawai'i (-16.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Hawai'i's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.8) narrows that gap at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Beyond home field, the model charges New Mexico's bye week and New Mexico's westward trip, with a slighter reading for the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect New Mexico vs Hawai'i at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex?

The latest reading for Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex shows Patchy rain nearby, 78°F with winds of 2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do New Mexico and Hawai'i compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor New Mexico (6.3) over Hawai'i (-16.1) by 22.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Hawai'i faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Hawai'i brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this New Mexico -18.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 14, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

78°F

Rain17%
Precip0.00"
Humidity75%
Wind2 mph NW
Gusts2 mph
Wind map for New Mexico at Hawai'i: aerial view of Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, wind from the NW at 1.8 mph, gusting to 2.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
04:30 PM HST
Venue
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Capacity
16,909
Elevation
75 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure New MexicoAway Hawai'iHome
This week3,227 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week5,833 miles
Season total4,652 miles17,286 miles
Body clock20:3016:30
Rest15 days7 days

New Mexico travels 3,227 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. That is a westward shift of 4 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.