Week 11 •
Spartan Stadium

Washington @ Michigan State , Week 11, Nov 14, 2026

3-2 Big Ten Power rating: 7.9
2-3 Big Ten Power rating: -0.3

Is there value in the Washington vs Michigan State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
WASH -6.1
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors WASHfavors MSU ▸
‹ 8.2 WASH
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1 WASH1 MSU2 WASH2 MSUModel: WASH -6.1

Washington (power rating: 7.9) carries a 8.2-point advantage over Michigan State (-0.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Michigan State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 1.4) narrows that gap at Spartan Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Washington's long trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Washington vs Michigan State at Spartan Stadium?

The latest reading for Spartan Stadium shows Clear, 42°F, wind chill 38°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Washington and Michigan State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Washington (7.9) over Michigan State (-0.3) by 8.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Michigan State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Michigan State brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Washington -6.1. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

42°F

Rain7%
Precip0.00"
Humidity74%
Wind7 mph NE
Gusts15 mph
Wind chill38°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Washington at Michigan State: aerial view of Spartan Stadium, wind from the NE at 6.5 mph, gusting to 14.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
Spartan Stadium
Capacity
75,005
Elevation
866 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure WashingtonAway Michigan StateHome
This week1,859 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game99 miles
Season total10,109 miles4,641 miles
Body clock21:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

Washington travels 1,859 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.