Week 11 •
Kelly/Shorts Stadium

Sacramento State @ Central Michigan , Week 11, Nov 11, 2026

1-4 MAC Power rating: -27.3
3-2 MAC Power rating: -11.8

Is there value in the Sacramento State vs Central Michigan line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
CMU -19.0
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors SACfavors CMU ▸
15.5 › CMU
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1 SAC1 CMU2 SAC2 CMU3 SAC3 CMUModel: CMU -19.0

Central Michigan (power rating: -11.8) holds a 15.5-point advantage over Sacramento State (-27.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Central Michigan's home field adds 2.9 points to that advantage at Kelly/Shorts Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Sacramento State's long trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Sacramento State vs Central Michigan at Kelly/Shorts Stadium?

The latest reading for Kelly/Shorts Stadium shows Clear, 41°F, wind chill 37°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Sacramento State and Central Michigan compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Central Michigan (-11.8) over Sacramento State (-27.3) by 15.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Central Michigan brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Central Michigan -19.0. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

41°F

Rain8%
Precip0.00"
Humidity76%
Wind6 mph NNE
Gusts8 mph
Wind chill37°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Sacramento State at Central Michigan: aerial view of Kelly/Shorts Stadium, wind from the NNE at 6 mph, gusting to 8.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Capacity
35,127
Elevation
807 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Sacramento StateAway Central MichiganHome
This week1,929 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game244 miles
Season total14,051 miles5,985 miles
Body clock21:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

Sacramento State travels 1,929 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.