Week 4
Aggie Memorial Stadium

New Mexico @ New Mexico State , Week 4, Sep 26, 2026

0-0 MW Power rating: -4.1
0-0 CUSA Power rating: -18.1

Is there value in the New Mexico vs New Mexico State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UNM -10.8
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors UNMfavors NMSU ▸
‹ 14.0 UNM
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1 UNM1 NMSU2 UNM2 NMSUModel: UNM -10.8

New Mexico (power rating: -4.1) carries a 14.0-point advantage over New Mexico State (-18.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. New Mexico State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2) narrows that gap at Aggie Memorial Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges New Mexico State's bye week, with a slighter reading for the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect New Mexico vs New Mexico State at Aggie Memorial Stadium?

The latest reading for Aggie Memorial Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 85°F, heat index 83°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do New Mexico and New Mexico State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor New Mexico (-4.1) over New Mexico State (-18.1) by 14.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, New Mexico State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. New Mexico State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this New Mexico -10.8. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

85°F

Rain3%
Precip0.00"
Humidity31%
Wind8 mph NNE
Gusts10 mph
Heat index83°F
Wind map for New Mexico at New Mexico State: aerial view of Aggie Memorial Stadium, wind from the NNE at 7.6 mph, gusting to 10.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
01:30 PM MDT
Venue
Aggie Memorial Stadium
Capacity
28,853
Elevation
3,970 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure New MexicoAway New Mexico StateHome
This week192 miles0 miles
Last week1,040 milesBye week
Season total1,232 miles9,090 miles
Body clock13:3013:30
Rest7 days13 days

New Mexico travels 192 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.