Week 11
Scott Stadium

California @ Virginia , Week 11, Nov 14, 2026

0-0 ACC Power rating: 0.9
0-0 ACC Power rating: 6.7

Is there value in the California vs Virginia line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UVA -8.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors CALfavors UVA ▸
5.8 › UVA
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1 CAL1 UVA2 CAL2 UVAModel: UVA -8.2

Virginia (power rating: 6.7) holds a 5.8-point advantage over California (0.9) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Virginia's home field adds 1.7 points to that advantage at Scott Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges California's long trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect California vs Virginia at Scott Stadium?

The latest reading for Scott Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 70°F with winds of 3 mph. There is a 74% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do California and Virginia compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Virginia (6.7) over California (0.9) by 5.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Virginia brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Virginia -8.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

70°F

Rain74%
Precip0.05"
Humidity97%
Wind3 mph SW
Gusts7 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for California at Virginia: aerial view of Scott Stadium, wind from the SW at 3.4 mph, gusting to 6.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
Scott Stadium
Capacity
61,500
Elevation
545 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure CaliforniaAway VirginiaHome
This week2,366 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total15,776 miles4,207 miles
Body clock21:0000:00
Rest14 days14 days

California travels 2,366 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.